Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 954.655509 1086.695188 1235.928622 1418.209661 1636.369700 1891.006040 2213.531073
2025-03-02 765.896568 937.335592 1150.446710 1439.376845 1828.092635 2343.787295 3098.802089
2025-03-09 661.673476 846.458359 1090.184270 1443.669490 1958.173916 2705.117774 3922.937426
2025-03-16 580.536468 767.917096 1026.524592 1421.968877 2035.314087 2995.367923 4714.529731
2025-03-23 531.628376 724.209801 1000.919077 1444.865312 2175.403478 3404.500011 5821.193601
2025-03-30 475.421485 662.061876 938.521506 1398.763826 2192.154820 3607.039240 6615.234661
2025-04-06 430.331874 610.801598 885.308207 1357.485264 2206.244099 3803.253867 7460.504827
2025-04-13 390.875958 563.847618 832.980694 1309.196797 2197.298836 3950.688316 8251.290722
2025-04-20 374.703481 551.225234 833.585554 1350.993244 2361.600884 4484.099475 10186.691455
2025-04-27 355.023606 530.938575 818.979008 1362.839350 2468.785788 4923.108894 12096.376702
2025-05-04 340.446399 517.506695 814.253916 1391.750789 2615.660828 5493.457859 14710.783911
2025-05-11 325.795965 502.569879 805.162072 1410.604471 2744.177102 6057.615720 17676.711656
2025-05-18 314.900195 494.034550 808.246753 1457.694932 2955.367724 6935.379522 22595.521252
2025-05-25 302.739245 482.406445 804.773745 1491.732449 3147.004695 7846.203662 28664.191622
2025-06-01 287.979271 464.798665 788.056290 1494.734112 3262.282896 8577.477022 34813.728877
2025-06-08 271.712366 443.161323 761.465954 1472.226925 3306.710886 9102.865720 40622.456487
2025-06-15 262.008977 432.780772 755.815887 1496.144407 3483.063342 10168.311446 51521.106810
2025-06-22 245.712981 408.929561 721.140107 1447.950660 3445.591568 10434.981187 57438.105730
2025-06-29 231.306041 387.722447 690.134722 1404.812739 3415.024635 10724.739519 64252.495952
2025-07-06 217.361462 366.558593 657.628931 1354.370135 3353.377426 10870.304825 70294.671458
2025-07-13 213.103189 363.739659 662.978221 1398.029839 3594.113870 12450.129337 95218.884425
2025-07-20 206.347321 355.575509 656.292187 1410.407082 3738.721595 13690.477453 121561.248639
2025-07-27 201.474932 350.795019 656.445868 1440.620370 3952.399592 15428.770333 164533.051528